Drought in the Horn of Africa http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com The Horn of Africa is facing the most severe drought for years. Estimates of the number of people affected reach 12 million and “famine” has been declared in Somalia & Kenya & Ethiopia are badly affected posterous.com Mon, 05 Mar 2012 08:09:00 -0800 #Somalia: #Foodcrisis subsides, but humanitarian needs remain acute http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/somalia-foodcrisis-subsides-but-humanitarian http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/somalia-foodcrisis-subsides-but-humanitarian

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Report from International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) - Switzerland

Because of the failure of seasonal rains, Somalia has been in the grip of a severe drought that started in October 2010 and had dramatic humanitarian consequences in 2011. Nearly two decades of conflict, poor security conditions and widespread lawlessness continue to exacerbate the humanitarian crisis in the country. The combined effects of recurring man-made and natural disasters have resulted in severe food insecurity and high malnutrition rates in many areas.

In order to address the crisis and avoid further displacement of thousands of people, the ICRC stepped up its operations in the central and southern parts of the country in 2011. In addition to conducting medium- and long-term activities, the organization launched an emergency relief operation in August 2011 to address the most urgent food needs of 1.1 million people. The ICRC remains fully committed to helping Somalis overcome recurrent humanitarian crises, improve their livelihoods and enhance their access to health care, as it has done for the past 30 years.

A summary of the ICRC's activities in Somalia in 2011

  • In partnership with the Somali Red Crescent Society (SRCS), the ICRC provided rice, oil and beans for more than 1,200,000 people, 124,000 of whom also received a second one-month food ration.
  • In July and August, the Somali Red Crescent, with the support of the ICRC, opened 13 new outpatient therapeutic feeding programmes (in addition to the 14 that were already under way) and set up 12 mobile health teams, which treated over 48,000 severely malnourished children and over 25,000 pregnant and lactating women. In the second half of the year, more then 120,000 children with moderate malnutrition and their caregivers attended the ICRC wet-feeding sites in the most affected areas in southern Somalia.
  • Since January 2011, the ICRC has distributed such household essentials as tarpaulins, blankets, kitchen items and clothing to over 350,000 people newly displaced by the conflict or drought all over the country. In addition, Somali Red Crescent clinics have given out 70,000 mosquito nets in the most malaria-prone areas.

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Fri, 02 Mar 2012 06:15:00 -0800 Drought is likely to return to Somalia and other parts of the Horn of Africa http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/drought-is-likely-to-return-to-somalia-and-ot http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/drought-is-likely-to-return-to-somalia-and-ot

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KIGALI, 29 February 2012 (IRIN) - Drought is likely to return to Somalia and other parts of the Horn of Africa over the next three months, say regional climate scientists meeting in the Rwandan capital, Kigali. The forecast comes just weeks after the UN declared the Somali “famine” over.

“There is a high probability of drought returning to the Greater Horn of Africa…Poor rains are a definite in all of Somalia, Djibouti, northern Kenya, southern, eastern and northeastern Ethiopia,” said Laban Ogallo, director of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), which provides forecasts for the Horn.

“We have put the message out there. It is now up to governments, civil society and the media to prepare… for the worst-case scenario even if the worst does not happen. There is no harm in being prepared,” he said. “We must realize many of these areas are already facing the cumulative impact of several droughts.”

Youcef Ait Chellouche, deputy regional coordinator of the UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction, said the coping mechanism of people in most of these areas who experienced severe drought in 2010-2011, is almost non-existent. In the coming days, he said, he would be meeting disaster risk managers from various countries and agencies to draw up a plan for early action.

“We cannot wait for people to show up in Dadaab [refugee camp in eastern Kenya] yet again. We have to take preventive action now. We need to find ways to secure livestock and provide cash transfers to people now. These are some of the lessons from last year’s drought,” he added.

It took scientists three days of brainstorming over rainfall and temperature data, the status of ocean currents and the strength of the La Niña to make the forecast at the 30th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum in Kigali.

Increased cyclonic activity recorded over the Indian Ocean in the past few weeks was one of the major factors drawing moisture away from the Horn, explained Ogallo. “The Indian Ocean is rather warm at the moment and will continue to be over the next few months.” He cited the recent cyclones recorded near Madagascar.

Climate scientists Andrew Colman with the UK Met Office’s Hadley Centre and Vadlamani Kumar from the US government’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said the residual effects of a dying La Niña were also a factor in possible poor rains over the Horn.

La Niña occurs when the surface of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean - the world’s largest body of water - cools, and has a climatic impact in other regions of the world. A particularly strong La Niña was recorded in 2010-2011 and parts of the Horn experienced their driest period in 60 years.

“We are in a transition phase. It [La Niña] seems to be dying out but it always gets a bit chaotic now [weather-wise] during such time,” said Peter Ambenje, deputy director of Kenya’s meteorological department.

“Near normal to below normal rains” - meaning the outlook is not very hopeful - have also been forecast for southern, eastern and northern Tanzania; Burundi; Rwanda; Uganda; and western and southern Kenya.

High temperatures

“We have already recorded some of the highest temperatures ever in the past 13 years in northern Kenya in January 2012,” said Ambenje. The government, he said, was already planning contingency measures. “People will need water and their livestock will need to be secured.”

The US Agency for International Development’s FEWS NET said people should expect erratic rain in southern Somalia and southeastern Kenya. It would be releasing a detailed outlook in the coming weeks.

Ethiopia’s pastoralists in the Somali Region and the agro-pastoralist communities in southern Oromia could be in for hard times ahead, and The Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People’s Region (SNNPR), one of Ethiopia’s poorest, is also likely to face a drought, say climate scientists.

However, Dula Shanko, head of Ethiopia Meteorological Department, said they expected the drought to be less severe than last year, as most parts of Ethiopia had received good rains towards the end of 2011.

Djibouti is already facing water shortages, said Osman Saad Said, chief of the country’s Met Division. At least one in eight people there was in need of emergency aid in 2011, according to the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies. “We are already drilling more and more bore-wells in the city,” he said.

Many disaster experts cited the slow response by governments and donors to the early warning forecasts of the 2010-2011 Horn drought.

Abbas Gullet, secretary-general of the Kenya Red Cross, said his organization had responded to the warning and launched an appeal in early 2011, but it had not managed to raise sufficient resources as the government had failed to ring official alarm bells. Only after it went to the people later in the year as part of the “Kenya 4 Kenyans” campaign were sizeable funds raised.

One of the problems highlighted was the lack of linkage between early warning and early action. “There is no framework that allows the trigger of funds when the early warning bell is sounded,” said one aid worker.

“Governments and people must take pre-emptive action on their own accord and not wait for donors to provide funds,” said another.

"It will be interesting to see how humanitarian actors - and donors - will factor this information into their decision-making, what they will be doing on this basis in the next few weeks,” said Maarten Van Aalst, director of the Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre, and co-ordinating lead author of the summary of the special report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change (SREX) produced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2011.

“Given the moderate strength of the forecast signal, I think the best options would be no-regrets investments, particularly aimed at high-risk areas still suffering from the current crisis, and proper monitoring so that further scale-up can be fast when it is needed,” he added.

Given the moderate strength of the forecast signal, I think the best options would be no-regrets investments, particularly aimed at high-risk areas still suffering from the current crisis, and proper monitoring so that further scale-up can be fast when it is needed."

via IRINnews

Photo from Oxfam International

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Tue, 28 Feb 2012 00:54:00 -0800 East Africa: out of famine, but for how long? http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/east-africa-out-of-famine-but-for-how-long http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/east-africa-out-of-famine-but-for-how-long

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By Ellie Matthews:

Southern Somalia is no longer in famine. While this is an improvement, it is not the end of the story. Nearly a third of Somalia’s population remains in crisis. That means 250,000 people still risk starving to death.

Moreover, if the causes of this famine are not addressed, it will continue to be a recurring threat in Somalia and elsewhere in the region.

Annual hunger

For many vulnerable people in east Africa, every year is a food crisis. People with different livelihoods have specific annual periods where food is in short supply. For instance, agro-pastoralist farmers who depend upon both livestock and growing crops are hungry during the rains; in this period before the next harvest, stocks are low and prices are high. Pastoralists – who rely on livestock as their main source of income – are hungriest before pasture is replenished by the rains.

While these people may not die in the annual hungry seasons, malnutrition makes them more susceptible to disease. Ill health means they can’t absorb nutrients from food as efficiently. Being unwell and lacking sufficient energy makes it harder to make a living.

All these factors mean that people’s food security is held in very fine balance. Sometimes all it takes is an extra pressure on the system – an unusually bad harvest, conflict, new government policies or displacement – to tip a routinely difficult time of year into a disaster. Often, food crisis is not an indicator of the availability of food in a country, but of people’s ability to access it.

Exiting the downward spiral

Each major food crisis leaves people with fewer resources to fall back on. This is why it is essential to help people protect their livelihoods and be better prepared for future disasters.

In Somalia, the International Committee of the Red Cross distributed seeds, fertiliser and irrigation pumps to help increase food production, and employed people in cash-for-work projects to upgrade irrigation channels along the Shabelle River.

The Kenya Red Cross has been supporting local agriculture in Kenya by rehabilitating boreholes. It has also been helping communities and schools improve their food security through greenhouse farming.

The rains are not the end

Emergency aid played a huge role in bringing east Africa out of famine, but it is not a long-term solution. Following a good harvest, people’s access to food in Somalia is expected to improve throughout March. However, seasonal factors and regional insecurity mean that the outlook from April is less optimistic.

Late or below average rains could again worsen food insecurity and lead to disease outbreaks. Vulnerable communities need to be able to prepare for future hungry seasons, to improve their food security year-round tip and the balance permanently in their favour.

Read more about our East Africa Food Crisis Appeal

Find out more about food insecurity

via ReliefWeb

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Mon, 27 Feb 2012 10:04:00 -0800 #Rwanda: Charity Concert Raises Funds for #Somalia http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/rwanda-charity-concert-raises-funds-for-somal http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/rwanda-charity-concert-raises-funds-for-somal

It was such an entertaining and inspiring Saturday evening, as several artistes including The Brothers and Indagamirwa Cultural Troupe, converged at the Sports View Hotel to raise funds in a charity concert.

The Rwandan Youth Campaign organised the concert dubbed 'Compassion for Somalia' to raise money and awareness to support Somalis living in the IDP Camps.

The concert that started at 8:15 pm featured Derek as the first act captivating the audience with his first singles Fashya Somalia (Help Somalia) and Africa among others.

Next was The Brothers, whose thrilling performances did not fail to impress the crowd with their songs such as Sawa sawa, Save Africa and Mbobera, to w

'Compassion for Somalia' concert was held at Sports View Hotel. All photos / Andrew Kazibwe.

hich the audience found touching as they were inline with the concert's theme.

The Indagamirwa Cultural Troupe wowed the crowd with their catchy lyrics enabling the mesmerised crowed to attempt a little sing along. They also pulled out fantastic cultural performances in different ways that aroused even some of the revellers to rise up in admiration and bewilderment.

The fundraising session was a smooth process as people participated highly; some participants paid cash, whist others pledged their contribution.

Somalia's Consul in Rwanda and owner of Fodey Security Company, Omar Soyan, was also at the concert. He donated Rfw2 million, whist the Fodey Security staff, too contributed Rwf1.

Bright Future Generation Choir Prtforms-55 million.

The organisers revealed that the total amount of money from the Somalia Concert was about three million-five hundred eighty-one thousand seven hundred Rwandan Francs (Rwf 3, 581700), and Ksh100.

The fundraising session was followed by performances by the Bright Future Generation Choir, which entertained the guests in one of their rendition of Tabaala Somalia, an inspirational song.

"This concert was staged with an aim of raising money and awareness for the people of Somalia; we are to proceed with finalizing with the pledges then after send the money to Somalia," Jean Népo Rwema Sibomana, Co-coordinator for Rwanda Youth Campaign for Somalia (RYCS), said.

Siomana applauded Alphonse Nkuranga, Executive Secretary in the National Youth Council, for working hand in hand in effort towards supporting the campaign and Somalia's Consul for the huge contribution.

"We are pleased with the fact that the Somalia's Consul has promised to lead the Rwandan Youth delegation to Somalia, where they will handover the aid to the people in the IDP camps," Sibomana noted.

He added: "The function has generally been a success; we hope to continue with more of this spirit in such campaigns even to other African countries in need."

Bright Future Generation Choir concluded the ceremony with their songs Tabala Somalia, (Help out Somalia).

 

via The New Times

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Tue, 21 Feb 2012 05:00:00 -0800 #Somalia: Far from a failed state? http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/somalia-far-from-a-failed-state http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/somalia-far-from-a-failed-state

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With leaders from more than 50 countries and international organisations due to gather this week for the London Conference on Somalia, BBC Africa analyst and Somalia specialist Mary Harper argues that Somalia's business leaders offer reasons to hope for the war-torn country's future.

UK Prime Minister David Cameron has managed to convince some of the world's most powerful people, including UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon and US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, to come to London because Somalia is seen as the world's most comprehensively failed state, representing a threat to itself, the Horn of Africa region and the wider world.

The conference will focus on three issues that have already had far-reaching and devastating consequences: Piracy, terrorism and famine.

But away from the headlines and the stereotypical media images of skeletal children, skinny pirates in tiny skiffs, and gun-wielding Islamist insurgents, their heads wrapped in black and white scarves, there is another side to the Somali story that is positive, enterprising and hopeful.

Remarkable things are happening which could serve as models for a new start.

It may come as a surprise that, despite coming top of the world's Failed State Index for the past four years in a row, Somalia ranks in the top 50% of African countries on several key development indicators.

A study by the US-based Independent Institute found that Somalia came near the bottom on only three out of 13 indicators: Infant mortality; access to improved water resources and immunisation rates.

It came in the top 50% in crucial indicators like child malnutrition and life expectancy, although this may have changed since last year's famine.

"Far from chaos and economic collapse, we found that Somalia is generally doing better than when it had a state," said the institute.

"Urban businessmen, international corporations, and rural pastoralists have all functioned in a stateless Somalia, achieving standards of living for the country that are equal or superior to many other African nations."

'Freewheeling capitalism'
Of course many people in Somalia have suffered horribly during the past 20 years of state collapse, but some sectors of the economy, both traditional and modern, are positively booming.

It may come as another surprise that two northern Somali ports account for 95% of all goat and 52% of all sheep exports for the entire East African region.

According to the London-based Chatham House think-tank, the export of livestock through these ports, and the nearby port of Djibouti, represents what "is said to be the largest movement of live animal - 'on the hoof' - trade anywhere in the world".

I recently visited one of these ports, Berbera, in the self-declared Republic of Somaliland, where port manager Ali Xoorxoor told me: "I expect livestock exports from the port to increase dramatically from three million head of livestock in 2011 to 4.5 million in 2012.

"This is because of healthy demand from the Gulf, especially Saudi Arabia, and new markets emerging in Egypt, Syria and Oman. The Egyptians are especially fond of our camels, mainly for meat."

The livestock trade has exploded since Somalia's government imploded in 1991.

One trader told me exports from the northern ports alone is worth more than $2bn (£1.3bn) a year; this does not appear to be an exaggeration, when one considers that just one sheep is worth at least $30 and a camel several hundred.

Academic Peter Little found what he described as a "spectacular surge" in cross-border cattle trade from Somalia to Kenya, where cattle sales in the Kenyan town of Garissa, near the border with Somalia, grew by an "astounding" 600% in the years following the collapse of central authority.

In his book, Somalia: Economy without State, Mr Little describes how "a freewheeling, stateless capitalism" has flourished in the country.

On their way to market, Somali nomads drive their livestock through hundreds of kilometres of harsh, hostile terrain, much of it occupied by militias including the Islamist group, al-Shabab.

These nomads know how to negotiate their way through enemy territory; perhaps they have a thing or two to teach Somali politicians and international agencies struggling to get aid to those who need it most.
 
Read more from BBC

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Thu, 12 Jan 2012 03:50:00 -0800 #Kenya: Security Forces Abusing Civilians Near #Somalia Border - AlertNet #hornofafrica http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/kenya-security-forces-abusing-civilians-near http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/kenya-security-forces-abusing-civilians-near

(Garissa) - The Kenyan security forces are beating and arbitrarily detaining citizens and Somali refugees in Kenya's North Eastern province, which borders on Somalia, despite repeated pledges to stop such abuses, Human Rights Watch said today.

On January 11, 2012, in the latest of a series of incidents documented by Human Rights Watch since October 2011, security forces rounded up and beat residents of Garissa, the provincial capital, in an open field within the enclosure of the local military camp. A Human Rights Watch researcher witnessed the incident.

"When military officers can beat civilians in broad daylight without fearing repercussions, it's clear that impunity has become the norm," said Daniel Bekele, Africa director at Human Rights Watch. "Repeated promises by both the police and the military to stop these abuses and investigate have amounted to nothing."

The Kenyan police and military have been responsible for a growing number of serious abuses against civilians since the Kenya Defence Forces entered southern Somalia in October, with the stated aim of eliminating al-Shabaab, an Islamist militia. The same month, suspected al-Shabaab sympathizers initiated a series of attacks against police, military, and civilian targets in Kenya.

In response, members of the security forces have been responsible for rape, beatings, looting, and arbitrary arrests of civilians. The crackdown has largely targeted Somali refugees and Kenyan ethnic Somalis, but residents of other ethnic backgrounds in North Eastern province have also been victimized.

The incident in Garissa on January 11 involved Kenyan citizens who told Human Rights Watch that they had been arbitrarily detained by the military. One of them, Ali Ibrahim Hilole, was at a shop across from the military camp buying items for a hospitalized relative when a military officer said to him: "Why are you standing here? So you're al-Shabaab." Soldiers forced him to accompany them to the camp, where they kicked him and told him to roll around on the ground.

Yusuf Khalif Mohamed, a long distance truck driver, stopped in Garissa for a soft drink on his way from Mombasa to Dadaab, where he was to make a food delivery for UNICEF. He parked his truck near the military camp, not knowing that parking was prohibited there. A military officer forced him to come to the camp, where soldiers threw a 20-liter container of water on him, forced him to roll on the ground, kicked him on the side, and hit him on the head with the butt of a gun. Mohamed told Human Rights Watch that one of them said, "I think you are al-Shabaab. You are bothering us in Somalia, and now you've come to bother us here."

Both men, along with at least five to seven others who were similarly detained and mistreated - most of them truck drivers, and all of them Kenyan citizens - were released after 30 minutes. They were not interrogated or charged with any crime.

A Human Rights Watch researcher who attempted to visit the military camp to speak to the officer in charge witnessed soldiers forcing several men to lie down in the dirt and forcing another man to frog-jump across the field and to assume various gymnastic positions. Military personnel refused entry to Human Rights Watch, one of them stating, "There are no human rights here."

The military spokesperson, Maj. Emmanuel Chirchir, said by phone from Nairobi that the people held at the military camp were being questioned because they had tried to build an illegal structure to sell things outside the camp. Chirchir said he did not have knowledge of any abuses, but assured Human Rights Watch that the military would investigate the allegations.

The events in Garissa follow a series of human rights violations by security forces against ethnic Somalis and others. On November 11, soldiers in Garissa rounded up ethnic Somalis arbitrarily on the basis of their appearance, beat them, and forced them to sit in dirty water while interrogating them.

On November 24, following two grenade attacks on civilian targets in Garissa and an improvised explosive device (IED) attack on a military convoy in Mandera, police and soldiers rounded up hundreds of suspects in both towns. Some were beaten so severely that they suffered broken limbs. In the days following the attacks, suspects were arrested at random. Human Rights Watch interviewed some who were taken to Garissa military camp and forced to do humiliating exercises, such as standing on their heads, and were beaten if they could not comply.

Explosions in the town of Wajir in early December were also followed by arbitrary arrests and beatings. A local activist in Wajir told Human Rights Watch that after an IED went off on December 12, injuring an intelligence officer and several others, police and soldiers rounded up and beat ethnic Somalis over the next three days.

"They criminalize all Somali people," he said. "Whenever a crime is committed, detaining and torturing people doesn't seem like a good security strategy. It is creating a barrier between the people and the security forces."

The worst abuses took place at Dadaab, home to over 460,000 mostly Somali refugees. A police officer was killed by an IED at Dadaab on December 5, leading to arbitrary arrests of those in the vicinity. After further explosions targeting police vehicles on December 19 and 20, one of them killing a police officer, police reacted angrily, beating refugees, and, in several cases, raping women. The chair of the Supreme Council of Muslims of Kenya, which conducted investigations in the camps, said that Kenyan police raped at least seven women following the explosions. Other victims suffered broken limbs.

A Garissa-based organization, Citizen Rights Watch, found that on the same occasion police looted dozens of shops, stealing over 27 million Kenyan shillings (US$310,000) worth of property and money that refugee traders stored in their shops.

Garissa residents interviewed by Human Rights Watch complained that police have not conducted thorough investigations to identify the actual perpetrators of either the initial attacks or the subsequent abuses by the security forces.

"Kenya's security forces are rightly concerned about attacks by suspected al-Shabaab members, and should be doing more, not less, to identify the attackers," Bekele said. "But beating, raping, and humiliating innocent Kenyan citizens and Somali refugees accomplishes nothing. Those in the security forces who are responsible for these abuses should be investigated and prosecuted."

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Wed, 11 Jan 2012 07:32:00 -0800 #Somalia: #Famine persists, and mixed options for next season's crops #hornofafrica http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/somalia-famine-persists-and-mixed-options-for http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/somalia-famine-persists-and-mixed-options-for

GIEWS Country Briefs

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Reference Date: 09-January-2012

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Famine persists in Middle Shabelle and among Afgoye and Mogadishu IDPs

  2. Currently, about 4 million people are estimated to be in need of humanitarian assistance

  3. Humanitarian aid delivery is heavily hampered by persistent conflict and civil insecurity

  4. Mixed prospects for the 2011/12 secondary “deyr” season crop production

  5. Prices of maize declined sharply in the last six months

Famine still persists in the South, despite some improvements

Famine conditions still persist in agropastoral areas of Middle Shabelle and among IDP populations in Afgoye and Mogadishu. In areas of Bay, Bakool and Lower Shabelle, formerly classified as IPC Phase 5 (Famine), substantial humanitarian assistance and favourable rainfall have mitigated food deficit levels and reduced mortality rates. These areas, as of 18 November 2011, have been downgraded to IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). Following these improvements, the number of people facing starvation declined from 750 000 in August 2011 to 250 000 in late November 2011.

Currently, about 4 million people, more than a third of the country’s population, are estimated to be in need of humanitarian assistance. Most of them are pastoral and agro-pastoral households in central and southern areas whose food security conditions have precipitously deteriorated since the poor outturn of the 2010 “deyr” season. Although several areas are expected to remain in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency), no famine is anticipated during the January-March 2012 period, given the deyr harvest. Possible exceptions are IDPs. The number of people in need of humanitarian assistance is likely to remain near current levels until the next main “gu” season harvest in July/August 2012.

Rate of population displacements declines

The drought-induced influx of Somali refugees into neighbouring countries has significantly declined in recent weeks and, according to UNHCR, the total number of refugees hosted in camps in Kenya, Ethiopia and Djibouti is currently estimated at about 725 000 people

Civil insecurity and armed conflicts continue to represent the major serious threat to food security in most areas of southern and central Somalia, particularly in Mogadishu, parts of Bakool, Juba, Hiran, Mudug, Galgadud, Lower Juba and Gedo regions. This situation has resulted in loss of human lives, increased displacements of civilians, disruption of trade activities and increased transportation costs, while presenting an obstacle to the delivery of humanitarian assistance.

Mixed prospects for 2011/12 secondary “deyr” season crops

Harvesting of 2011/12 “deyr” cereal crops is about to start and will continue until March. Planting has extended up to the end of November due to continued heavy rains. Crop production is forecast to be average in most crop producing areas of southern and central Somalia due to good and evenly distributed rainfall as well as average planted area. According to the latest deyr production outlook report by FSNAU, major producing regions of Lower Shabelle and Bay are expected to have sufficient cereal stocks at least up to the beginning of the next “gu” harvest in July 2012. Good stock availability is also forecast in Middle Shabelle, Hiran and Bakool regions. In contrast, crop production is expected to be well below average in various riverine districts of Juba and Gedo regions due flash floods and river flooding following torrential rains from late October to early December that damaged standing crops, especially to sorghum. However, this excess moisture will benefit off-season crops, mainly sesame, maize and other cash crops, to be harvested by the end of March 2012.

Most parts of Northern regions received favorable rains, with the exception of some areas of Bari and Sanaag regions and the Nugal valley of Sool region where crop and pasture conditions have been affected by insufficient precipitations. In the Northwest, good 2011 “karan” rains (August-October) benefitted cereal crop production that is estimated at 68 000 tons, the second best performance since 1998.

Declining prices of maize and sorghum

Prices of domestically produced staple cereal crops reached record levels in June 2011 in most markets and then sharply decreased in the following six months. Prices of maize declined from June to December in the main markets of Mogadishu, the capital city, and Marka, located in the main maize producing southern region of Lower Shabelle, by 62 and 72 percent, respectively. The significant decrease followed the increased supplies from the 2011 “gu” harvest last August, the good off-season crops harvested in the riverine areas of Lower Shabelle and, most importantly, the delivery of humanitarian assistance. Prices of red sorghum have also significantly decreased in Mogadishu and Marka markets as a consequence of the possibility for households to substitute sorghum with low-price relief maize. In general, maize and red sorghum were traded in December 2011 at lower or similar levels of one year earlier.

Prices of imported rice declined between August/September and December by about 18 to 22 percent respectively in Marka and Mogadishu, mainly due to increased supplies from the main regional ports, after the end of monsoon season, and the slight appreciation of the Somali Shilling against the US dollar. Rice prices are at about the same levels of December 2010 in Marka and in Mogadishu, while they are higher in other several markets, due to high fuel prices increasing transport costs and market disruptions caused by civil insecurity.

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Wed, 28 Dec 2011 02:46:00 -0800 BBC News - #Somalia 'faces threat to $100m in US remittances' #famine http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/bbc-news-somalia-faces-threat-to-100m-in-us-r http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/bbc-news-somalia-faces-threat-to-100m-in-us-r

Famine-hit Somalis could lose access to up to $100m of remittances from relatives in the US, charities say.

They urged a US bank and the Treasury not to disrupt money transfers to Somalia, where more than a quarter of a million people are at risk.

The Franklin Bank is thought to be the last major US bank to offer remittance services to Somalis living there.

But it says it will stop the service on 30 December because of US counter-terrorism regulations.

The US Treasury said banks had to observe diligence rules but that there was "no assumption on the part of the Treasury that money transmitters present a uniform or unacceptably high risk of money laundering".

'Devastating'

Oxfam America wants the bank and hawalas (money transfer businesses in Somalia, where there are no banks) to work with the US government to find a solution.

"It is estimated that $100m in remittances goes to Somalia from the US every year. This is the worst time for this service to stop," said Shannon Scribner of Oxfam America.

"Any gaps with remittance flows in the middle of the famine could be disastrous. The US government should give assurances to the bank that there will be no legal ramifications of providing this service to Somalis in need."

Refugee Fatuma Abdille (R) poses at the Transit Centre in Dolo Ado, Ethiopia, on December 15, 2011. Over 300,000 refugees have fled severe drought, conflict and famine in southern Somalia this year into Ethiopia and Kenya, according to the United Nations More than 300,000 have fled Somalia's drought, famine and conflict, according to the UN

It is thought that when Franklin Bank stops the service, smaller banks might follow suit.

They would fear being held responsible if money fell into the wrong hands, such those of al-Shabab, an al-Qaeda-linked militant group.

"With famine and drought already impacting families throughout Somalia, the cessation of bank transfers will be devastating on a national scale", said Daniel Wordsworth, president of the American Refugee Committee.

Oxfam spoke to one mother of six in Lower Juba, Somalia, whose brother sends her money from the US.

But he called a week ago to warn that he would be sending the last cash as the hawala might stop working.

"My family is relying 100% on that cash and if it stops, we have no option but to move to Dadaab refugee camps in Kenya," Habiba Abdi Ali said.

The US Treasury said it "engages regularly with the Somali-American community" to "promote the continued use of legitimate and transparent methods" of remittance.

It said it believed the community would continue to have such methods to transfer funds to Somalia.

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Thu, 22 Dec 2011 06:50:00 -0800 Twin blasts in #Dadaab raise concerns of worsening security - UNHCR http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/twin-blasts-in-dadaab-raise-concerns-of-worse http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/twin-blasts-in-dadaab-raise-concerns-of-worse

GENEVA, December 21 (UNHCR) An improvised explosive device went off on Tuesday near the market at the Ifo refugee camp in Dadaab, Kenya. There were no casualties but a police vehicle was damaged. The explosion came just a day after a blast in nearby Hagadera camp killed one police officer and seriously injured two others.

In a statement issued today, UNHCR expressed alarm at the string of recent security incidents targeting the Dadaab refugee complex in northern Kenya. Dadaab is the world's largest refugee settlement and shelters more than 460,000 people.

In total there have been four explosions at Dadaab since October, when three aid workers were kidnapped. The blasts have killed three Kenyan police officers and wounded four others. There have also been threats against humanitarian agencies working in Dadaab. UNHCR condemned these attacks and called for respect for peace and the civilian nature of the refugee camps.

"We are deeply concerned for the well-being and safety of Somali refugees in Dadaab, most of whom are women, children and elderly," said António Guterres, the UN's High Commissioner for refugees. "For the sake of refugees and those who are there to help them, it is of paramount importance to preserve the peaceful and civilian character of the camps."

A deadly mix of conflict, persecution, drought and famine has seen 295,000 people fleeing Somalia this year. More than half have found shelter at the Dadaab refugee camps in Kenya. Others fled to Ethiopia, Yemen and Djibouti.

In Dadaab, development of new sites, registration, deliveries of emergency assistance and services continued uninterrupted throughout the year. However, since October, growing insecurity has crippled the ability of aid agencies to deliver the all but life-saving assistance mainly food, water and health services. UNHCR and its partners are exploring options to allow full operations to resume.

The situation in Dadaab has been further complicated in recent months by an outbreak of cholera, believed to have started among new arrivals who acquired it in Somalia or en route to Dadaab. Although new cases are now on a downward trend, UNHCR has registered 897 cases, and three deaths, since August. Worsening security, rains and flooding have also made it harder to truck in water to parts of the camps.

Somalia remains one of the worst humanitarian crises in the world. More than 950,000 Somalis live as refugees in neighbouring countries, while another 1.46 million are internally displaced.

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Wed, 21 Dec 2011 03:04:00 -0800 #Djibouti troops join AU force in #Somalia - BBC News http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/djibouti-troops-join-au-force-in-somalia-bbc http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/djibouti-troops-join-au-force-in-somalia-bbc

Troops from Djibouti have arrived in Somalia's capital, Mogadishu, to bolster the 10,000-strong African Union (AU) force battling Islamist militants.

It is just the third country to contribute to the AU force, which says it needs extra troops to hold territory gained from the al-Shabab Islamists.

Kenya also says its troops in southern Somalia will join the AU force.

Al-Qaeda-linked al-Shabab is fighting to overthrow the UN-backed interim government.

It is estimated to have between 7,000 and 9,000 fighters and controls many southern and central areas of the country.

In August, it announced a tactical withdrawal from Mogadishu after fierce fighting with AU forces.

Broken promises

But the group has continued to detonate bombs in the city, killing five people in an attack at a busy junction earlier this month.

AU commanders say they need up to 20,000 troops to hold on to Mogadishu.

map

The BBC's Mohamed Dore in Mogadishu says a plane carrying the Djiboutian troops has landed in the city.

The AU mission said 100 soldiers had already arrived, with a further 800 to follow in the next week or so. Until now, the force only consisted of troops from Uganda and Burundi.

"We are desperately in need of military support to eliminate the threat of al-Shabab," said Somali security official Mohamed Abdirahman, according to the AFP news agency.

Other countries that have failed to fulfil promises to send troops include Nigeria and Malawi.

Djibouti borders Somalia and its people speak the same language.

Kenya sent troops in October to pursue al-Shabab after blaming it for a spate of abductions on its side of the border.

The group denies involvement in the abductions.

Somalia has not had a functioning central government for more than 20 years and has been convulsed by fighting between various militias.

The UN says it is the world's worst humanitarian situation, with famine conditions in three southern areas.

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Fri, 16 Dec 2011 08:20:00 -0800 Somali rebels block ICRC food aid convoys | Top News | Reuters #Somalia #famine http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/somali-rebels-block-icrc-food-aid-convoys-top http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/somali-rebels-block-icrc-food-aid-convoys-top

By Mohamed Ahmed

MOGADISHU (Reuters) - Islamist militants in Somalia have blocked two International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) convoys carrying emergency food aid for drought victims this month, contractors and a senior rebel said.

Residents of Baidoa, a stronghold of the al Shabaab rebel group, told Reuters they had seen the militants loading food aid from dozens of trucks into their warehouses there on Thursday.

Aid worker sources said al Shabaab wanted to check the quality of the food. However, the targetting of ICRC convoys raised the possibility that the organisation might join a long list of international groups barred from operating inside rebel-controlled areas of Somalia.

"Their claims of checking food quality are misleading. Their intention is very clear, they are looking for justifications to ban the agency like others before," a local ICRC contractor said on condition of anonymity.

The ICRC said in August it was scaling up its emergency food distribution operations in central and southern Somalia to help an additional 1.1 million people hit by drought and war.

It normally has good access to southern and central areas, much of which are controlled by the al Qaeda-linked insurgents, and it is unusual for its convoys to be stopped.

STILL HELD

One large convoy was still being held up in Somalia's Middle Shabelle region after being stopped earlier this month.

"Al Shabaab fighters have surrounded us. They won't release the convoy until a decision comes from their seniors," one truck driver, who declined to be named, told Reuters by telephone.

The convoy was transporting rice, oil and beans, the driver said, and was destined for central Somalia.

The second column was stopped in Gedo, a southern province bordering Ethiopia, and then forced to go to Baidoa.

Aid sources in the Kenyan capital Nairobi, a hub for agencies working in Somalia, confirmed the blockades to Reuters.

A spokeswoman for the ICRC in Geneva declined detailed comment. "Our operations are ongoing and this obviously involves negotiations with different parties to the conflict and concerned authorities," said spokeswoman Nicole Engelbrecht.

"The ICRC does not wish to provide details about such negotiations and various stages of its operations."

The ICRC is by far the largest distributor of food relief in the lawless Horn of Africa country, where more than a quarter of a million people face starvation in the south.

The rebels, who are hostile to Western intervention, banned food aid last year in the areas they controlled and kicked many groups out, saying aid created dependency.

"We are more interested in medical organisations that are running advanced medical facilities. We don't want our people to depend on food aid forever," a senior al Shabaab official told Reuters when asked about the ICRC convoys.

Al Shabaab lifted the aid ban in July when the food crisis hit critical levels, only to re-impose bans on some groups later. Last month they outlawed 16 relief agencies including the U.N.'s World Food Programme.

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Fri, 16 Dec 2011 01:41:00 -0800 We have no #famine, says Somalian prime minister - Telegraph #somalia http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/we-have-no-famine-says-somalian-prime-ministe http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/we-have-no-famine-says-somalian-prime-ministe
We have no famine, says Somalian prime minister
Abdiweli Mohammed Ali, Somalia's prime minister Photo: NICHOLE SOBECKI

Mr Ali, who leads Somalia’s officially recognised government, chose the week when the United Nations has appealed for $1.5 billion to help his country’s people to deliver a stinging attack on relief workers.

A Harvard-educated economist, he believes they have become an “entrenched interest group”, exaggerating the scale of suffering in order to drum up donations.

The United Nations says that 250,000 Somalis are suffering from famine in three regions of the country, including Mogadishu. Patches of waste ground across the bullet-scarred city, devastated by two decades of war, are filled with the shacks of refugees who have fled drought and food shortages. Children with distended bellies and stick-like limbs can be seen in many of these sand-blown camps.

Seated in his air-conditioned office, Mr Ali said the UN’s judgment that famine had struck his capital was wrong. “I have no idea how this international community makes the grading. You ask them and tell me how they did it. They don’t know what they’re talking about. But what I can say is enough relief came to Somalia and we provided enough relief to those affected by the famine.”

Mr Ali added: “I don’t believe there’s a famine in Mogadishu. Absolutely no. You know the aid agencies became an entrenched interest group and they say all kind of things that they want to say.”

Mr Ali cited a searing critique of aid workers, “Lords of Poverty”, written by Graham Hancock, a British author, in 1989. “I don’t want to be a conspiracy theorist, but I believe a lot of what has been said in the 'Lords of Poverty’ book by Graham Hancock,” added the prime minister.

Mr Ali leads a government that depends almost completely on outside donations. Somalia, which collapsed into anarchy in 1991, has no tax system and the prime minister’s administration controls little territory beyond Mogadishu.

Its only significant source of revenue is the capital’s port, which brings in around $12m per year. Virtually all of the rest of this year’s budget of $100m comes from other countries. Mr Ali’s government is probably the most donor-dependent in the world.

Nonetheless, the prime minister said that aid workers “became themselves lords of poverty. They say what they want to say. I don’t want to accuse them, but the statistics that they use sometimes doesn’t make sense to me.”

Aid officials were privately incredulous about Mr Ali’s remarks. The UN says that “tens of thousands” of Somalis have died of hunger this year. Mark Bowden, the humanitarian coordinator for Somalia, said the situation was “expected to remain critical well into next year” and that $1.5 billion was needed to meet the “emergency needs of 4 million people in crisis”.

At Walalah camp in Mogadishu, over 1,000 people live in shacks fashioned from cardboard and brushwood. Because of the dangers of operating in the capital, UN relief agencies have only a skeleton presence. So far, no aid of any kind has reached this camp.

Farhiya Abdi has lived in a shack in Walalah since drought killed all of the animals her family once herded in their home village in Somalia’s interior. Her twin babies are both emaciated from hunger. So far, Mrs Abdi has received no food aid whatever. Only donations from the elders who control the camp have kept her and the children barely alive.

“This is worse than the situation back there in the village,” she said. “But I cannot go back there because all the animals are dead.”

The World Food Programme is supplying feeding centres in the city, but the nearest is several miles away and Mrs Abdi is took weak to walk that distance. Her life, she said, was dominated by “hunger”.

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Thu, 15 Dec 2011 04:19:00 -0800 #HornofAfrica: As Attention Fades, the Crisis Continues | Refugees International #kenya #dadaab http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/hornofafrica-as-attention-fades-the-crisis-co http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/hornofafrica-as-attention-fades-the-crisis-co

Horn of Africa: As Attention Fades, the Crisis Continues

Washington D.C. -- Refugees International (RI) is calling on the United States to press for the protection of displaced families and humanitarian workers in the Horn of Africa, and to ease restrictions on humanitarian assistance. These are two of the recommendations made in Horn of Africa: Not the Time to Look Away, a new RI report released today. The report also urges the United Nations to address the security concerns of displaced women and children, and to prevent the spread of infectious disease.

"More than six months have passed since Somalia’s famine was first declared, but this crisis is far from over," said RI President Michel Gabaudan, who recently visited IDP and refugee camps in Somalia and neighboring countries. "In some areas, the drought has eased. But continuing insecurity in the camps threatens families and prevents aid workers from delivering vital supplies. This is a difficult situation, but if we improve policing and protection in the camps we can prevent further loss of life."

During a recent visit to the Horn, RI experts found that the UN and other aid providers are successfully providing basic assistance – food, water, and shelter – to thousands of Somalis streaming into the region’s refugee camps. But the lack of security and protection remains a severe, and largely unaddressed, problem. In Kenya’s Dadaab refugee camp, for example, police presence is weak despite repeated militant attacks. Dedicated protection services for women and children – who face rape, trafficking, and abuse – are almost entirely absent, with just one child protection specialist serving the camp’s half a million residents. To tackle these problems, RI is pressing the U.S. to work with Kenya and Ethiopia to establish security in the camps. It is also urging the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) to dedicate more staff and resources to protection.

While in the region, RI also learned of the extreme access challenges faced by humanitarian organizations. Much of south and central Somalia is controlled by Al Shabab, a designated Foreign Terrorist Organization that creates severe obstacles to aid delivery. In November, Al Shabab announced the expulsion from its terrority of more than 16 aid organizations. But the challenges of aid delivery are exacerbated by U.S. aid restrictions designed to isolate Al Shabab. These restrictions are creating additional obstacles to scaling up food distribution within Al Shabab controlled areas.

"A quarter-million people are still at risk of imminent starvation in Somalia," Mr. Gabaudan said. "The U.S. must ensure that vital aid continues to flow, and issuing a general license for aid delivery in these regions is a responsible way to do that."

###


Refugees International is a Washington DC-based organization that advocates to end refugee crises and receives no government or UN funding. For more information, please go to www.refugeesinternational.org.

Contact:
Dara McLeod +1 240 486 3011, dara@refugeesinternational.org

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Tue, 13 Dec 2011 03:38:00 -0800 UPDATE 2-Air strike hits empty #Somalia Red Crescent centre | News by Country | Reuters #hornofafrica http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/update-2-air-strike-hits-empty-somalia-red-cr http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/update-2-air-strike-hits-empty-somalia-red-cr

* Second air strike on Baardheere this week

* At least one civilian killed

* Kenya will seek a "peace enforcement" mandate under AU force (Adds al Shabaab, details, background)

By Mohamed Ahmed and Feisal Omar

MOGADISHU, Dec 10 (Reuters) - A warplane bombed a rebel-held town in southern Somalia on Saturday, hitting an empty feeding centre run by the Somali Red Crescent Society (SRCS) and killing one civilian, residents said.

They could not identify who carried out the attack in the town of Baardheere. Kenya, which is eight weeks into a ground and air offensive to crush the al Shabaab rebel group, said on Saturday it had launched an air strike earlier this week on a compound nearby.

"The bomb hit a feeding centre run by the Red Crescent Society and a school building," Hawa Abdillah Mo'alim told Reuters by telephone. "Fortunately it was not a food distribution day," said the woman, a recipient of food aid herself.

The bomb destroyed the centre's critical water tank, residents said. They also said the victim was a man, but no further details were available.

A Kenyan military spokesman was not available to comment.

An aid worker said the death toll would have been higher had the feeding centre been distributing food to displaced famine victims. The International Committee of the Red Cross, which supports the feeding centre, declined to comment.

Residents said al Shabaab had sealed off the area.

On Thursday, Kenya targeted a compound residents said was used by the militants as a training base. Kenyan Colonel Cyres Oguna told a news conference in Nairobi on Saturday the building was an ammunitions depot.

Kenyan troops crossed into Somalia almost two months ago after a wave of kidnappings and cross-border raids it blamed on the rebels.

Its forces initially advanced smoothly on militant towns in Somalia's southern border regions but has since become bogged down by heavy rains and a lack of clear strategy, diplomats say. Kenyan air strikes have intensified in past weeks.

Analysts say that rather than confront Kenya's military head on, the militants had melted into the population from where they launch hit-and-run attacks on the Kenyans.

Kenya wants its forces in Somalia to be integrated into the African Union AMISOM force that has about 9,400 peacekeepers deployed in Mogadishu.

Kenya will be pushing for a more robust "peace enforcement" mandate for its troops in southern Somalia than the peacekeeping mandate the Ugandan and Burundian troops operate under in Mogadishu, Oguna said.

However, becoming a part of AMISOM may not be straight forward, as issues of funding and command and control need to be resolved, and may take several months. (Additional reporting and writing by Richard Lough in Nairobi; Editing by Matthew Jones and Alessandra Rizzo)

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Thu, 08 Dec 2011 09:56:00 -0800 Capital News » 100 suspects arrested after #Dadaab attack #hornofafrica http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/capital-news-100-suspects-arrested-after-dada http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/capital-news-100-suspects-arrested-after-dada

NAIROBI, Kenya, Dec 6 – More than 100 suspects were arrested at the Dadaab refugee camp on Tuesday following an attack a day earlier that killed a policeman and wounded three other officers.

North Eastern Provincial Commissioner Joseph ole Serian told Capital News that the suspects were being interrogated over the attack and those found culpable would be arraigned in court.

“Yes, we have arrested 100 suspects in today’s (Tuesday’s) security operation,” the PC said.

There was no immediate indication what charges would be preferred against the suspects, but a police officer in Garissa revealed some of them may be charged with being in the country illegally because no documents were found on them.

“Others are being interrogated to establish if they were involved in the attack or any other criminal activity in the camp,” the officer said.

Another officer added: “They are being interrogated over the landmine attack that killed an Administration Policeman at the Ifo II extension camp within Dadaab.”

Monday’s attack was the latest in a spate of grenade and landmine attacks in Kenya’s border regions with Somalia.

Kenyan officials blame Somali Islamist Shabaab insurgents or their sympathisers for a series of recent shootings and bombings, although armed bandits also operate in the border areas.

Gunmen seized two Spaniards working for Medecins Sans Frontieres (Doctors Without Borders) from Dadaab in October and are thought to have taken them to Somalia.

The kidnapping of the Spaniards was one of the incidents that spurred Kenya to send troops into Somalia to fight the Al Qaeda-linked Shabaab in mid-October.

Regional armies are now pushing against Shabaab positions in Somalia with Kenyan forces in the south; Ugandan and Burundian African Union forces are in Mogadishu, while Ethiopian troops operate in the west.

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Wed, 07 Dec 2011 02:11:00 -0800 INTERVIEW: Horn of Africa crisis may last to summer - EU official - AlertNet #hoacrisis #Somalia #Kenya http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/interview-horn-of-africa-crisis-may-last-to-s http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/interview-horn-of-africa-crisis-may-last-to-s

INTERVIEW: Horn of Africa crisis may last to summer - EU official

06 Dec 2011 16:52

Source: alertnet // Emma Batha

Newly arrived Somali refugees queue to receive the measles vaccine from Medecins Sans Frontieres (MSF) at the Ifo extension camp in Dadaab, near the Kenya-Somalia border, Aug. 1, 2011. REUTERS/Thomas Mukoya

By Emma Batha

LONDON, Dec 6 (Reuters) - The hunger crisis in Horn of Africa, which has left more than 13 million people at risk of starvation, will continue into the spring and possibly even summer, the European Union’s top aid official said on Tuesday.

European Humanitarian Aid Commissioner Kristalina Georgieva also warned that the Sahel region faced “very dramatic hunger” next year and feared that some countries there were burying their heads in the sand.

The Horn of Africa crisis, triggered by the worst drought in decades, has affected Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya and Djibouti.

Georgieva said around 250,000 people were at risk of dying from hunger in Somalia, where the country’s two-decade war has exacerbated the famine.

The situation is critical in central and southern Somalia where al Qaeda-affiliated al Shabaab rebels banned 16 relief agencies last week from areas they control.

“The crisis is going to be there at least through the spring and possibly all the way to the summer,” the commissioner told a media briefing in London ahead of talks with British development minister Andrew Mitchell.

Georgieva said she was extremely concerned about the famine’s long-term repercussions on the region because of the vast numbers of Somalis who had fled to refugee camps in Kenya, Ethiopia and Yemen. Instability in Somalia meant they were unlikely to return home once the crisis was over.

The commissioner said there were probably 400,000 to 500,000 Somalis in Yemen, the Arab world’s poorest country which is also plagued by unrest. The figure is twice the official estimate.

“The flow of refugees from poor country to poor country has stability and security implications,” she added.

Georgieva said the famine showed governments and donors must do more to prevent droughts becoming full blown humanitarian crises.

“The Horn of Africa drought… is a wake-up call on how much more we need to do to anticipate and prevent droughts turning into killers. We cannot stop droughts but we can stop famines,” she said.

FEARS OVER MALI

Turning to the Sahel, she said the looming hunger crisis there was likely to be even worse than that in 2010 because the surrounding region was also expected to suffer food problems and would not act as a buffer.

She said there were even concerns that northern Nigeria could be affected.

Niger and Mauritania have already issued alerts following erratic rainfall, droughts and insect infestations.

Although they are likely to be the worst hit countries, Georgieva said both were “looking at the problem with open eyes” and taking precautions including stockpiling food.

“I’m more worried about Mali, and even Burkino Faso, because there seems to be a bit of a desire there to wish the crisis away,” she added.

But the commissioner said the crisis in the arid region south of the Sahara desert would not be of the magnitude seen in the Horn of Africa, partly because donors were mobilising now. The Commission has already provided 55 million euros ($74 million) for the region.

“Investing now is not only morally the right thing to do, but it will cut costs in the future,” she added.

She contrasted the 30 euros ($40) it cost to feed a family in Niger for a month to the 220 euros ($295) it cost to treat just one child with acute malnutrition – a condition which would handicap it for life.

“It’s unfortunate that very often the massive response comes when the crisis is already deep and on the six o’clock news,” she added. “We have to be ready to act independently of the news cycle.”

Georgieva said that in the Horn of Africa the benefits of investing in disaster prevention were clear to see in Moyale in northern Kenya. The district avoided the worst affects of the drought by installing roofs that allow people to harvest water, setting up mobile clinics to prevent child malnutrition and encouraging pastoralists to shrink their herds proportionate to the available grassland.  

“The results are very impressive. The question is why we don’t do this everywhere,” Georgieva added.

(Emma Batha reports for AlertNet, a global humanitarian news service run by Thomson Reuters Foundation. For more stories and information, visit www.trust.org/alertnet)

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Tue, 06 Dec 2011 02:30:00 -0800 William F. Schulz: #Famine in East Africa: It's Not Over Yet #somalia #hornofafrica http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/william-f-schulz-famine-in-east-africa-its-no http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/william-f-schulz-famine-in-east-africa-its-no

Ten days ago The New York Times carried the headline, "Somalia Famine Eases With Rainfall and Aid" and quoted UN officials as saying that the number of people facing imminent starvation in Somalia had dropped by half a million to 250,000. To those of us who have been trying to get assistance to the region for the past six months, this is of course good news.

In the first place, it is good just to get the famine mentioned in the mainstream press. Between mid-October and mid-November, CNN had cited the famine fewer than 10 times while referencing Kim Kardasian's mini-marriage almost 70 and Herman Cain's alleged sexual escapades nearly 200. And it is good news because fewer people are dying. But the true story is far more complex than it appears.

Aid agencies are often accused of exaggerating the direness of humanitarian crises for their own mercenary reasons. When people are thought not to be in jeopardy, funds dry up; success breeds indifference. In the case of Somalia, NGOs and the UN have done a remarkable job of getting aid to the needy under extraordinarily difficult circumstances -- a failed government in Mogadishu; threats from the terrorist group Al Shabab; a military incursion by Kenya; and an utterly inadequate infrastructure for the delivery of supplies. The international community can take some justifiable pride in its accomplishments. But equally justified are the worries.

I live in Gloucester, MA, home of The Perfect Storm, Sebastian Junger's famous account of the sword fishing boat Andrea Gail and the perfect conjunction of low pressure, high pressure and tropical moisture that sunk her near Sable Island in the north Atlantic in the fall of 1991. I have frequently thought of the applicability of that metaphor to Somalia the past six months as it experienced its own perfect storm through a combination of drought, governmental incompetence and violence -- first internal violence prompted largely by Al Shabab, and then violence wrought by Kenyan (and, potentially, Ethiopian) intervention. The result was as many as 13 million people across the Horn of Africa in need of emergency assistance.

That number is now down to 4 million -- better but still about the population of Los Angeles. Three of the six zones in Somalia, the worst of the affected areas being the ones controlled by Al Shabab, still face famine and Al Shabab continues to threaten and harass aid workers. What has been little noticed, moreover, is that drought knows no borders. The crisis is not confined to Somalia but has spilled over into Kenya and Ethiopia, both relatively stable countries until now, where it could have long-term drastic consequences.

Among other things, tens of thousands of Kenyans and Ethiopians have been internally displaced by the famine and the conflict. Because refugee complexes take only those who have crossed borders, tensions between the internally displaced and Somali refugees remain high. In addition, Somalia is a vortex that has already drawn Kenya into the fighting and threatens to do the same with Ethiopia, thus destabilizing the region further and putting more children are at increased risk of forced conscription and sexual appropriation. Perhaps most damaging in the long run is the destruction to the pastoral lifestyles that so many worked so hard to establish. With the loss of their herds to drought, men have abandoned their families, leaving women and children even more vulnerable than usual, and providing a potential source of fresh recruits for the militias that have so plagued the region.

The famine is, in other words, just one of the lenses through which to view this tragedy. And that makes sense because the famine was but a symptom of far deeper underlying fissures. Not only can the partial alleviation of the food emergency be quickly reversed if the international community lets down its guard but those fissures will only get worse if Kenya and Ethiopia get drawn into a long-running war.

So, reasonable as it may be to pause for a moment to celebrate progress, it is critically important to keep in mind that that perfect storm has far from abated and now threatens to sweep up two more countries in its tumultuous wake. Somalia itself will not soon be righted but ongoing attention to the region's misery will help contain the contagion. And while that may not be as immediately intriguing as Kim or Herman's relational woes, it is in the last analysis far more morally and strategically compelling.

William F. Schulz, former executive director of Amnesty International USA, is president of the Unitarian Universalist Service Committee.

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Fri, 02 Dec 2011 09:42:00 -0800 Just add cash for #climate adaptation - AlertNet #drought http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/just-add-cash-for-climate-adaptation-alertnet http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/just-add-cash-for-climate-adaptation-alertnet

By Spencer Fields

It’s really quite simple.  For the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), “funding is paramount,” to use the succinct summary provided by Pa Ousman Jarju, the Gambian chair of the LDC Group.

The Least Developed Countries have already written their National Adaptation Programmes of Action (NAPAs), comprehensive reports on their projects focused on adaptation to and mitigation of climate change.

They have already prioritized the projects in order to address first those that require urgent and immediate attention.  There even already exists a funding mechanism – the UN-created and Global Environment Facility-managed LDC Fund (LDCF) – to provide them with the financial resources they need to implement the projects.

As Jarju pointed out this week at the UN climate talks in Durban, South Africa, all they need now is cash.

Seems straightforward, right?

Unfortunately, winning funding for the LDCs has proven anything but simple, as recent reports released by the Global Environment Facility and reiterated at this week’s COP17 meeting make clear.

Of the $2.5 billion required to fund the adaptation action plans  for all 48 Least Developed Countries, only $454 million has been pledged so far.  Of this frustratingly small amount, only $305 million has been received by the Global Environment Facility, and even less has been distributed for the implementation of projects.

In the broader context of unfulfilled promises for adaptation funding, as part of  $30 billion of “fast start” adaptation and mitigation financing promised by 2012, it is a disappointment, though unsurprising, that not nearly enough funds are being channeled through the LDC Fund.

While donor nations were originally hesitant to channel funds through a nascent, untested channel, the Global Environment Facility (GEF) has solicited advice to improve operations and management of the LDCF, and has taken steps to turn those suggestions into practice.

These alterations have allowed GEF to streamline operations substantially.  For example, the average time between when countries finish their National Adaptation Programmes of Action and when a first project is approved is now about 18 months.

Also, the LDC Group and GEF have learned several critical lessons from the initial experiences implementing NAPA projects, which they are now applying in the process of implementing future projects.

The fund now works.

What’s more, the process of creating NAPAs and prioritizing projects is allowing countries to use funds very effectively. For the most part, countries have chosen as most vital projects on food security and agriculture, water resources and coastal management.

Accordingly, these three areas are now the sectors to which the most implementation project funding has been allocated.

In the words of Bonizella Biagini, of the GEF Secretariat, “Implementation has matched priorities.”

The Least Developed Countries know best what they need to carry out projects that target urgent and immediate vulnerabilities. They even know the precise next steps for continuing the push toward effective adaptation and mitigation.

Jarju, for example, wants to see more projects under the Clean Development Mechanism, which gives poorer countries carbon credit they can sell for clean development projects.

In an event at the climate talks, Jarju asked for technical assistance.  He described how increased funding would help build capacity to perform vulnerability assessments.  Finally, he explained how the completion of all of these projects and ideas simply relies on one missing element:  funding.

Spencer Fields is a researcher in the Climate and Development Lab at Brown University.

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Tue, 29 Nov 2011 03:24:00 -0800 Al-Shabaab bans aid agencies in #Somalia and raids offices | World news | The Guardian #hoacrisis http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/al-shabaab-bans-aid-agencies-in-somalia-and-r http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/al-shabaab-bans-aid-agencies-in-somalia-and-r

Al-Shabaab bans aid agencies in Somalia and raids offices

Islamic group permanently revokes permission for organisations including Unicef and WHO to work in country amid famine crisis

A Somali girl joins queue for a hot meal at a camp
A Somali girl joins women queuing for a hot meal at a camp. Al-Shabaab has banned several aid agencies. Photograph: Roberto Schmidt/AFP/Getty Images

Efforts to feed 160,000 severely malnourished children in Somalia have been jeopardised after Islamist rebels banned several UN and international aid agencies, storming their offices in a string of co-ordinated raids.

Al-Shabaab militants, who have imposed a harsh form of sharia law in south and central Somalia, announced on Monday they were banning 16 aid agencies from operating in the anarchic country where tens of thousands of people have died from famine since April.

The United Nations Children's Fund (Unicef) said its office in the southern city of Baidoa had been occupied, but that all staff were safe.

Jaya Murthy, interim communications chief for Unicef Somalia, said al-Shabaab's actions could threaten feeding programmes for 160,000 severely malnourished children across the centre and south of the country.

"We are extremely concerned that any interruption to our assistance could result in the death of thousands of children … If our supply pipelines are disrupted, it spells the imminent death of those children," he said.

Somalia, which has had no stable government for two decades, has plunged even deeper into misery this year because of a severe drought and an intensification of fighting as first Kenyan and then Ethiopian forces crossed the border in the past few weeks to tackle the al-Qaida-linked Islamist rebels.

Al-Shabaab, which is fiercely opposed to any western or regional intervention, banned food aid last year in the areas it controls and kicked many relief organisations out, saying aid created dependency. It lifted the ban in July but now appears to have reneged on that.

In a statement, the group said it had "decided to permanently revoke the permissions" of the listed aid agencies to operate inside Somalia, accusing them of being "subversive groups" and "persistently galvanising the local population against the full establishment of the Islamic sharia system".

The list includes the UN high commissioner for refugees (UNHCR), Unicef, the World Health Organisation (WHO), Concern and the Norwegian and Danish refugee councils.

Although famine conditions have eased since aid agencies increased their activities in Somalia, four million people still need food aid, with 250,000 experiencing famine. Aid agencies have warned that the renewed fighting threatens relief operations and could displace even more people.

Pieter Desloovere, WHO Somalia's communications officer, said medicines had been looted from the agency's offices in Baidoa and Wajid on Monday, but that no one was hurt and the premises were not occupied. "This will not affect our operations on the ground. We will remain present," he said.

One aid agency official, who asked not to be named, said the relief groups wanted to respond in a calm and measured way to the al-Shabaab actions to avoid inflaming the situation. He said the attacks and ban were unexpected but not without precedent.

Since Kenyan forces crossed the border last month, al-Shabaab, which includes foreign fighters from countries such as Britain, the US and Pakistan, has increasingly sought to portray itself as the protector of Somalia against foreign intervention.

Ethiopia, which also sent troops into Somalia in 2006 but withdrew in 2009, said last week it had sent forces back into its neighbour for a "brief period". Al-Shabaab is also fighting Somali forces and African Union peacekeepers in the capital, Mogadishu.

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Mon, 28 Nov 2011 02:13:00 -0800 The #Famine Next Time - New York Times #somalia #kenya #ethiopia #drought http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/the-famine-next-time-new-york-times-somalia-k http://horn-of-africa.posterous.com/the-famine-next-time-new-york-times-somalia-k

THIS past summer I came across a camel that had lost its hump. After a long journey in search of pasture, the beast was swaying beside a brackish well, its ribs and hip bones showing. The hump hung flaccid off its back like a deflated balloon.

I was in northern Kenya, which is suffering through the worst drought to hit the Horn of Africa in 60 years. The toll of deprivation is everywhere. In the village of Kursin, emaciated livestock are collapsing in the middle of town; the local headmaster, Ismael Ali, told me they’ve “had a problem with dead carcasses around the school.” Attendance dropped sharply since the beginning of the year, as many families left the parched region with their flocks, some even crossing into war-torn Somalia in search of food.

American attention to the hunger crisis has focused on the dire conditions of Somalis, but they account for just about a third of the 13 million people affected. According to the United Nations, hunger afflicts 4.5 million people in Ethiopia and 3.75 million people in Kenya, which has about half of Ethiopia’s population. An estimated half a million Kenyan children and pregnant or breast-feeding women suffer acute malnutrition.

The drought has been mounting for a year, but it wasn’t until the crisis peaked over the summer that the news media and most international donors took notice. It’s a familiar cycle: first come the news media pictures of emaciated infants, followed by conferences on how to do better next time, visits from top-level government officials and large financial commitments from international organizations and even donors like China and the Ikea Foundation. The United States Agency for International Development and the Ad Council have even begun a celebrity public service campaign with the actors Uma Thurman and Josh Hartnett.

This is good news; the assistance is badly needed. Yet the mismatch in timing raises a question that bedevils aid agencies. Unlike earthquakes or hurricanes, droughts and food price increases take time to develop, and the resulting hunger crises are forecast well in advance. From water harvesting to livestock support to cash assistance, there are a plethora of steps that could have significantly ameliorated the current crisis. Why weren’t they taken?

This year’s drought followed two failed rainy seasons, leaving farmers and herders fragile. When coupled with skyrocketing food and fuel prices, catastrophe loomed. The Famine Early Warning Systems Network, financed by U.S.A.I.D., anticipated it as early as August 2010, and by January the American ambassador to Kenya had declared a disaster and called for urgent assistance.

Although the United States began stockpiling emergency food in the region, that wasn’t enough. On June 7, the warning network announced, “This is the most severe food security emergency in the world today, and the current humanitarian response is inadequate to prevent further deterioration.” At that time, there were 7 million people in jeopardy. Now, the number is 13 million.

A common misconception is that hunger crises are about a lack of food. Yet there is food in Kenya and Ethiopia, and even in many parts of Somalia. The real issue is poverty. The people affected are poor to begin with; when things turned bad, they had no recourse. In April the World Bank reported that 44 million people worldwide were pushed over the edge by skyrocketing food prices.

Such a perspective is largely missing in our food-aid program. It’s like a health insurance system that waits until someone has a full-blown illness before he or she can get treatment. By the end of June, with the crisis in full swing, the United States had committed a total of about $64 million to Kenya, much of it in the form of food supplies (this doesn’t include relief for the Somali refugees). But food aid loses at least half of its value, according to the Government Accountability Office, because we ship actual food instead of sending cash for local purchase, like most countries. And only $5 million was allocated to agriculture, nutrition, water and sanitation — about $1.33 per hungry person — things that would have helped people during lean times.

Blame politics. Medium- and long-term planning is often the first thing to be cut from an aid budget. After the food price crisis of 2008, when hunger riots erupted around the globe, President Obama got the Group of 8 to promise $22 billion for agricultural development and food security. But many of those commitments have not been met. Meanwhile, this summer Congressional Republicans voted to cut the foreign food aid budget by a third, and more cuts are planned.

And, of course, there is the matter of optics: donors want to see dead babies before they provide significant assistance, one frustrated aid worker told me.

Blame also lies with the Kenyan and Ethiopian governments. In the northern district of Wajir, for instance, by July the central government provided only about half the food assistance that local governments requested, while Ethiopia, according to the BBC, misused aid for political purposes. It is an old story: sending emergency aid is clumsy, and often fraught with problems. As I was leaving a village that depended entirely on delivered water, I passed the water truck the villagers were waiting for, broken down by the side of the road.

Aid officials say they realize that prevention is better than reaction. “We know how to do this,” Rajiv Shah, the head of U.S.A.I.D., told me during a trip he made in July to Kenya’s Dadaab refugee camp. “It is one-tenth the cost to provide effective agricultural support and help communities gain food security than it is to provide food aid at a time of famine.”

Our shortsighted response also highlights a misunderstanding about foreign assistance and prevention. “We are not investing in relatively obvious solutions,” said Christopher Barrett, an expert on food aid at Cornell University. Those mundane but vital interventions include shoring up the water supply and helping to bolster markets and transportation so that economies continue during lean times. The best assistance, people in Wajir told me, would be a decent road to the south, which would cheapen imports and give them a market for their animals.

DRIVING through Wajir’s sandy, arid landscape, we turned the corner to an amazing sight: a green oasis — a farm, a greenhouse, a well, a water pump, a windmill. Running around were the first happy, healthy-looking children I had seen. This is the Kutulo Farm, a women’s cooperative in Wagberi, where they grow kale, cabbage and peppers. They received money for the well from the European Union, but otherwise have done everything on their own. They would like to expand, said Adey Issack, one of the founders, but have no access to credit.

Programs like the Kutulo Farm are significantly cheaper to start and maintain than sending mounds of food aid at the last minute, in large part because they leverage the skills and knowledge of local residents to do the work. The current crisis is a painful demonstration of how well such an approach works: those few communities that received small, well-designed assistance are weathering the drought relatively well.

While recent rain has eased the pressure, much of it will be lost because of a lack of water-collection facilities. And experts warn that so many in Kenya are weakened and destitute that the cycle is expected to start up again in May. In other words, droughts cannot be stopped. But the economics that link drought and famine can be upended, so that next time, the people of Wajir, and dozens of countries around the world, might be able to avoid untold, and unnecessary, suffering.

via nytimes.com 

Samuel Loewenberg is a Nieman Foundation global health reporting fellow at Harvard. The Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting provided a travel grant for the reporting of this essay.

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